Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Ispat Industries shares jump on JSW Steel's open offer


Shareholders reposed faith in the company after JSW announced attractive open offer price

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

Shares of Ispat Industries Ltd bounced back smartly on Wednesday and closed 11 per cent higher, after the Sajjan Jindal-led JSW Steel Ltd made an open offer to buy a further 20 per cent stake in the firm. The open offer was made at price, higher than the per share deal price announced on Tuesday.

JSW Steel, which announced the acquisition of a 41.3 per cent stake in Ispat Industries, on Tuesday for Rs 2,157 crore, has made an open offer at Rs 20.54 a share. The offer price is 3.5 per cent higher than the Rs 19.85 that JSW will pay to acquire 1,086.6 million equity shares in the debt-ridden company. The offer to Ispat shareholders begins February 12 and will close on March 3.

On the Bombay Stock Exchange, the Pramod Mittal and Vinod Mittal-promoted Ispat Industries ended the day at Rs 23.60. On Tuesday, the scrip had tanked 15 per cent to close at Rs 21.

The rise on the Ispat counter was significant, since investor sentiment in the broader market was weak and the BSE benchmark Sensex settled 44.5 points lower at 20,015.8. Even the JSW Steel counter witnessed profit-booking and ended 0.75 per cent lower at Rs 1,202.90.

Equity analysts said investors rushed towards the Ispat counter as they realised this deal is in favour of the company. "The deal undoubtedly stands attractive over the long term," said Kamlesh Bagmar, an analyst at brokerage house Prabhudas Lilladher.

The deal makes JSW Steel, India's largest steel company. Several big players of the industry, including steel czar LN Mittal's ArcelorMittal, Tata Steel Ltd, were in the race to acquire a stake in Ispat Industries.

The deal will help in timely execution of Ispat's capex plan of Rs 3,140 crore as funding issues are mitigated, given JSW Steel's strong credentials, said Angel Broking in a note to investors.

"We believe the acquisition is positive for JSW Steel in the long term, as it will become India's largest steel company with total capacity of 14.3 million tonnes (Greenfield projects have been difficult to implement because of land acquisition/environmental clearance issues)," it added.

According to Standard Chartered analysts, Satish Kumar and Saurabh Prasad, to fund the acquisition, JSW Steel will need to take on a debt burden of Rs 2000 crore or sell investments worth Rs 1700 crore.

http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws221210INDUSTRY.asp


Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Gold holds its glitter

It has provided among the best returns on investment

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

India is the biggest consumer of gold in the whole world

With gold prices charging north, Indian marriages have become expensive. The yellow metal, which plays a fundamental role in the marriage ceremony and is seen as a symbol of security as well as a sign of prosperity in India, is hovering around $1,390 (nearly Rs 63,000) an ounce in the international market and at around Rs 20,500 per 10 grams in local markets.

While the soaring price of gold may be spoiling marriage budgets of many Indian households, from an investor point of view returns from the metal this year has outperformed equity, which is considered as the quickest route to make money. In just one year, the value of money invested in gold has significantly grown, by 27 per cent, while the Bombay Stock Exchange’s benchmark Sensex -- the performing index among top 10 global indices – appreciated just 17 per cent during the same period. Over the past 10 years, the value of gold demand in India has increased at an average rate of 13 per cent per year, outpacing the county's real gross domestic product(GDP) growth by almost 6 per cent, according to World Gold Council (WGC). India is the world's largest gold consumer market.

Festivals, economic growth, gold's attraction as an investment and a good monsoon are key reasons for the likely rise in domestic gold prices. In the near term, gold is likely to remain elevated and will take cues from dollar movements, brokers said.

Gold is set for a 10th annual gain and analysts forecast it may hit fresh record highs by early next year as concerns over fiscal imbalances and currency tensions will continue to support investment demand for it.

Apart from the recent additional $600 billion worth of quantitative easing by the US, the weakening of dollar and associated fears of inflation, demand for the precious metal is also likely to be driven by higher gold price expectations as well as increasing availability and accessibility of gold investment products to retail investors.

“We expect a further rise in the prices of precious metals on account of” fresh worries in Europe “which may boost the metals appeal as a safe-haven investment,” brokerage house Nirmal Bang said in a note. Rising crude oil prices is also fuelling the movement of precious metal in global market, dealers said.

“European sovereign crises and geopolitical tension between North Korea and South Korea boosted demand for gold,” ICICI Securities said in a note on Tuesday. Praveen Singh, a research analyst at Sharekhan Commodities, is bullish on the outlook of gold and said that in “the present uncertain economic scenario, we think the yellow metal can reach $1,440 level easily in the next few months.” Gold made fresh all-time high on December 6, touching $1,424 per ounce, and has witnessed some profit-booking at those levels.

A patient investor, who parked savings in gold at the beginning of passing decade, would have made five times the initial investment.

Dealers in Mumbai said a fresh surge in demand is expected in domestic market by the middle of next month when Makar Sankranti festival marks the start of winter-sown crop harvest. The wedding season is already on and demand for jewellery is supporting further rise in the gold. India contributes to almost 15 to 20 per cent of world demand of gold and most of this is in the form of jewellery, said Tanushree Mazumdar, senior economist at National Commodities Exchange (NCDEX).

The demand is increasing in the world’s two largest markets, India and China, as rising income levels, high savings rates and strong economic growth continue to push up consumption.

To reap the benefit in the value of shining metal, financial planners too are advising people to have a minimum of 10 per cent to 20 per cent exposure in gold as part of an asset allocation strategy.

“Gold provides hedge against inflation in your portfolio and is a must for a diversified assets portfolio,” said Sejal Patel, a financial planner at Bonanza Portfolio Ltd. Small investors too are missing the golden chance to make money via exposure of their savings in the precious metal. Retail investors in India are diversifying their investment in gold by investing in gold ETFs (exchange-traded funds), which are basically mutual fund units where the underlying investment is almost exclusively in gold, said Mazumdar. “Though currently the size of the gold ETF market in India is small, but for trend-spotters, tracking investment gold ETFs would be an interesting exercise. It would also be one of the factors to look into when trying to analyse factors affecting demand for gold in India,” she added.

Investors who do not hold gold or view it purely as a temporary safe haven asset are failing to harness its full potential to protect wealth, says a study published by WGC. According to WGC forecast global gold consumption for 2010 will be higher than 2009 as a result of increasing levels of demand in India and China, sustained global demand for gold investment, together with growth in jewellery and industrial demand.

http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws211210COMMODITIES.asp

Monday, December 20, 2010

2010 most exciting year for India's IPO market

Indian companies raised a record Rs 71,100 crore through public issue activities

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

Going public was never as exciting in one calendar year as it was in 2010 for Indian companies that raised a record Rs 71,100 crore.

The last year of the passing decade, which many Dalal Street pundits term a golden period for public issue activities, would certainly be remembered for setting many records in Indian primary market history.

And if everything goes well with the Indian economy and global markets, the crazy debut saga of India Inc is unlikely to stop here as along with the Centre's ambitious disinvestment plan, there is a big pipeline of papers from private players for the next year, experts say.

"This year (2010) clearly can be termed as a hot period for fund-raising activity through the primary market. This journey is likely to continue with the same pace, if India's growth story does not slows," said Prithvi Haldea, chairman and managing director of Prime Database, which tracks the primary market.

The outlook for new issues seems bullish for the coming period as the government is focusing on modernising country's infrastructure, which would entail large expenditures. The energy sector will support manufacturing growth and emergence of retail as a new consumer class will also boost the activity, market experts say.

"Though it is very difficult to forecast the mood of stock market, going public activity is unlikely to slow in coming months here as India is one of the best performing markets globally and is blessed with strong economic fundamentals," said Yogesh Kapoor, managing director for North India (investment banking) at Enam Securities Private Ltd. According to Prime Database, nearly Rs 60,876 crore of funds are proposed to be raised by a little over 100 companies in the coming period. The list includes companies that have already received approval from market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India and also those entities that have filed draft papers with the watchdog. "Given the pipeline of capital raising from both public and private sectors, we expect capital rising next year too will not slow," said a primary market analyst at a Mumbai-based domestic brokerage house who did not want to be identified. After a very tough 2008 and lacklustre 2009, the passing year was a clear revival period in the Indian public issue market that was mainly backed by government's mega share sale progamme.

Year 2010 features 70 public issues, which includes 62 initial public offerings (IPOs) and eight follow-on public offerings (FPOs), according to data complied by brokerage firm SMC Global Securities.

The total fund-raising through these issues was to the tune of about Rs 71,114 crore. Of this, fund-raising through 62 IPOs was worth about Rs 39,710 crore and via FPOs, nearly Rs 31,403 crore.

Not only in India but globally also, IPO fund-raising activity will set record levels in 2010. According to an estimate by global consultancy firm Ernst & Young *E&Y), the total amount raised through the IPO route is expected to exceed $300 billion by the end of this year, which will exceed the previous record (the $295 billion raised in 2007).

"Despite the fragility of economic recovery in Western markets, Asia's economic growth story and record-breaking debuts have fuelled a strong worldwide IPO recovery," E&Y said in its year-end Global IPO Update, released a week ago. In the first 11 months of 2010, IPOs worldwide have already raised $255.3 billion in 1,199 deals.

In the domestic market, the public sector dominated primary market activity this year as they had a lion's share of 70.2 per cent (Rs 49,946 crore) of the total issue size. "Whichever way you look at it, the year 2010 was an action-packed year for the Indian primary market, the most happening place being the Department of Disinvestment," said Jagannadham Thunuguntla of SMC Global.

The Centre, which has a target to raise Rs 40,000 crore during the currency financial year -- the highest ever in a single fiscal -- has already garnered Rs 21,000 crore till the end of 2010 by cutting its stake in companies like Engineers India Ltd, Coal India Ltd (CIL) and MOIL Ltd.

CIL's issue, through which the government mopped up Rs 15,200 crore in October, was the biggest IPO in the history of the Indian capital market. Another remarkable story of the year was the listing of Standard Chartered on the Mumbai market through the first ever issue of Indian depository receipts.

"With the strong and dynamic fundamentals of the Indian economy, such new kind of innovation cannot be denied in coming period also," said Kapoor of Enam Securities. In the September quarter of the current financial year, the Indian economy expanded by 8.9 per cent, giving the government enough reason to see a growth of 9 per cent during the full fiscal ending March. The Sensex, the country's most-tracked index, too reached a high of 21,108 points in November, and analysts believe foreign institutional investors' support to this growth will keep investor sentiment buoyant.

Interestingly, the kind of companies that hit the markets this year was diversified and a number of public issues can be seen from the new-age modern industries such as microfinance (SKS), fitness (Talwalkars) and coaching institutes (Career Point).

"Compared to some of the other emerging markets, India is trading only at a slight premium, which we believe is justified considering the superior relative growth outlook," Angel Broking said in a note to investors.

India ranks fourth among the top six top six markets for fund-raising this year, according to E&Y. Greater China tops the list, while the US stands second, followed by Japan. South Korea and Malaysia stand at fifth and sixth place, respectively, according to the E&Y report.


http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws201210MARKETSII.asp

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Punjab & Sind Bank IPO oversubscribed 50 times

Attractive price range in the public offering has contributed to the positive investor response

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

Punjab & Sind Bank's (PSB) strategy to set an attractive price range for its initial public offering (IPO) helped the state-run lender in garnering great response with the share sale offer being oversubscribed 50 times by the end of issue on Thursday.

The only unlisted public sector lender, which entered the capital market with its IPO in a price band of Rs 113-120 per share, received excellent response from all categories of buyers, institutional, retail and employees. At the upper end of price range, the issue would fetch Rs 480 crore.

According to the National Stock Exchange website, in the portion reserved for qualified institutional buyers (QIBs), which includes foreign institutional investors and mutual funds, the offer was oversubscribed 49.8 times. Bidding by QIBs closed on Wednesday while Thursday was last date for non-institutional and retail investors.

The demand for PSB's IPO is almost similar to that of Nagpur-based MOIL Ltd, which on Wednesday was listed on the market with a net gain of 24 per cent on day one on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The state-run manganese ore miner's issue, which closed in the first week of December, was oversubscribed 49.16 times.

"There is strong appetite for investing in the PSU (public sector undertaking) offers," said Arun Kejriwal, founder of the Mumbai-based advisory firm Kejriwal Research & Investment Services Private Ltd. "The PSB issue is being offered at very attractive valuations," he added.

PSB, with 926 branches, is predominantly present in north and central India. The issue, which opened on Monday, was endorsed with "subscribe" tag by many domestic brokerage houses.

"PSB had one of the highest non-performing assets (8.1 per cent) in the industry in FY (fiscal year) 2005, which came down to one of the lowest in the industry (0.4 per cent) in FY 2010," Angel Broking said in note highlighting the bank's asset quality.

Going by share demand, the bank is likely to fix the issue price at the higher end of the price band, said an investment banking official involved in the issue, who did not want to be named.

Overall investment sentiment was also positive on Thursday on Dalal Street, with the BSE benchmark Sensex closing 217 points or 1.1 per cent higher at 19,864.85 points.

http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws161210MARKETINGII.asp

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Govt approves sugar exports to benefit from robust global prices

Export concerns of India and Brazil, and the flash floods in Pakistan in July and August contributed to high sugar prices

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

The government on Wednesday allowed sugar mills to export up to 500,000 tonnes of the sweetener this season under the open general licence, which will help the domestic producers to get rich dividends thanks to high international prices.

Announcing the decision, Union Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar said the permit of shipment will also help sugar producers "in giving good cane prices to the farmers."

Based on predictions of good production, India, the world's second largest producer of sugar, has permitted exports against the pending advance authorisation scheme and the advance licence scheme to take advantage of soaring international prices.

"The details on the export will be finalised within 10 days," Pawar said while addressing 76th annual general meeting of Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA), the apex body of sugar producers in the country.

The sugar industry has been seeking exports under the open general licence, or unrestricted exports, to cash in on robust global prices.

"At present, the international market is good for exports of sugars from India. The opportunity for Indian exporters may not remain beyond February 2011, as shortly thereafter the Brazilian sugar production and exports would begin," said Vivek Saraogi, managing director of Balrampur Chini Ltd and president of ISMA.

Due to export concerns of India and Brazil and the flash floods in Pakistan in July and August, sugar prices witnessed a sudden spurt in the global market and reached their highest point in the last 30 years last month.

"Export from India may help to ease out sugar prices in international market," said an agriculture analyst at a Mumbai-based brokerage firm who did not want to be identified. As per ISMA estimates, on-season production of sugar in 2011 will be around 25.5 million tonnes. The country's sugar production in the last marketing year was 18.8 million tonnes.

According to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, sugar production in India during the current season is likely to be around 27 million tonnes because of increase in cane plantings.

The government has approved a hike in the levy paid to sugar mills to Rs 1,847.05 per quintal, against last year's Rs 1,757.50 per quintal.


http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws151210COMMODITIES.asp

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Delhi Stock Exchange may restart trading before March-end

Delhi Stock Exchange may restart trading before March-end

Long-dormant bourse would become third exchange in the country to offer equity trading

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

After remaining non-functional for nearly a decade, the Delhi Stock Exchange (DSE) is now gearing up to restart operations with some technical upgradation and expects to kick off trading again before the end of current financial year.

"The bourse obtained the required approval from capital market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) a month ago for the commencement of operations. According to the current plan, DSE will start functioning before the end of March 2011," DSE Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Executive Director HD Sidhu said in an interview.

Trading activity on the DSE was halted in 2001, as the national capital's bourse -- like other regional stock exchanges -- lagged behind with respect to the required technology that made them unable to compete with the National Stock Exchange (NSE) that has a pan-India presence.

This time the bourse is ready with its online share trading platform which has been constructed in association with Financial Technologies (India) Ltd. The platform is equipped with Exchange Technology Framework Product Suite, a software said to be suited for promotion and successful operation of the exchange.

Though the exchange was expected to restart trading activities way back in 2009, it missed the deadline due to various reasons. However, Sidhu did not divulge the reasons behind the delay in the planned launch.

DSE would be the third exchange in the country to offer trading in the equity segment. At present, the NSE and the Bombay Stock Exchange are the two main bourses in India. As part of its business growth, DSE is also in talks with some other smaller regional stock exchanges (RSEs) such as Ludhiana Stock Exchange and Indore Stock Exchange.

"We are in talks with some RSEs and they have expressed interest in tying up with us. Once we start, I hope to see associations with such institutions," Sidhu said.

To lure companies, the exchange has offered an amnesty scheme to retain maximum number of compliant entities and to recover the arrears of listing fees.

About 2,700 companies are listed on the DSE, out of which 1,700 are exclusively listed on the bourse.

DSE, incorporated in 1947, has successfully completed its demutualisation process in August 2007, according to the SEBI guidelines.

http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws141210MARKETS.asp

Eight months on, NSE yet to start trading of US indices

Rupee convertibility issue yet to be resolved

BY Siddharth Kumar
Delhi

A DEAL NSE and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange had signed a cross-listing agreement in March this year.

Investors in India wishing to bet on Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500, the world's two most-tracked equity indices, may have to wait for some more time.

This is because the National Stock Exchange (NSE), where the future contracts on these US indices were to be traded, is yet to announce a timeframe for their introduction.

Industry experts believe regulatory approvals from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may be a reason for the delay.

"Since in this case the matter of rupee convertibility is also involved, it may come under the review of central bank also," said Sandeep Parekh, a former Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) executive director and founder of Finsec Law Advisors.

A futures contract is an agreement that allows an investor to bet on the underlying asset -- an index or a stock -- for a predetermined price and period.

NSE and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) had signed a cross-listing agreement in March this year.

Under the deal, DJIA and S&P 500 could be traded on NSE and Nifty -- the benchmark index of the NSE -- would be traded on the CME.

Several calls made to the SEBI spokesperson remained unanswered.

CME owns the rights for S&P 500 and DJIA and has given the licence to NSE for trade in futures contracts in India.

While the dollar-denominated derivatives contracts on Nifty have already been traded in the US, NSE is yet to start similar contracts on the American indices in rupee denominations on its platform. Almost eight months have passed on since the two bourses inked the cross-listing agreement.

Replying to a questionnaire, an NSE spokesperson said: "The agreement between the two exchanges won't be scrapped."

The spokesperson did not give any further details on when the trading would start.

In July this year, the CME has introduced two new contracts -- E-mini and E-micro S&P CNX Nifty Futures -- on its platform designed to access Indian market opportunities.

Investors can trade for nearly 23 hours on the CME Globex. These hours include the market hours in India except the last hour before the Indian market opens.

"The introduction of these two contracts will make Nifty available to a larger community of traders and investors across various exchanges and time zones," NSE Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director Ravi Narain had said earlier.

http://www.tehelka.com/story_main48.asp?filename=Ws141210MARKETSII.asp